Released by the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES), the June edition of the Australian Crop Report indicates rainfall in May and June in eastern Australia had generally improved conditions for planting, after those cropping regions had generally experienced very dry conditions during early to mid autumn.
Executive Director of ABARES, Paul Morris, said that in addition to the favourable opening, the winter rainfall outlook issued by the Bureau of Meteorology suggests an above average chance of exceeding median rainfall in most cropping regions in eastern Australian and an average chance in Western Australia.
“With deeper soil moisture presently at low levels, yields would likely suffer if crops did not receive favourable rainfall while growing and developing,” Mr Morris said.
The area sown to wheat and barley is forecast to rise by three per cent and two per cent to around 13.7 million hectares and 3.8 million hectares, respectively, with total wheat and barley production are forecast to rise by 15 per cent and 10 per cent to 25.4 million tonnes and 7.4 million tonnes, respectively. In contrast, canola production is forecast to fall by 17 per cent in 2013–14 to 3.2 million tonnes.
Harvesting of the 2012–13 summer crop is largely complete and total production is estimated to have fallen by 9 per cent to around five million tonnes.
Production of grain sorghum and cottonseed are estimated to have declined by 23 per cent and 17 per cent to around 1.7 million tonnes and 1.4 million tonnes, respectively. Australian production of cotton lint is estimated to have fallen by 17 per cent to 992,000 tonnes.
In contrast, rice production is estimated to have increased by 26 per cent to around 1.2 million tonnes, the highest since 2001–02.