During this week or the next, the latest volumes of Chilean table grape of the season should sail to China, and it appears that this campaign will reach a volume between 92000 and 93,000 tons, 8% more than last season, but 3% lower than the record of the 2012/13 season. Looking at the historical data the trend is clear, for the past 10 seasons the exports of Chilean table grapes to China and Hong Kong have shown a rising trend. Moreover, the number sent this season corresponds to 245% more than what was shipped in the 2005/06 season, while the growth in value between the two periods has been of 329%.
From 2007/08, a year after the beginning of the FTA between the two countries, both the volume and value of exports began to grow, in part helped by the gradual reduction of the 13% base tariff in 10 years. This meant that in ten seasons, China/HK increased its share in the total exports of Chilean table grapes from 3.3% to 12.6%. However, during the last three seasons the volume of these exports has ranged between 85000 and 95000 tons.
This can lead to two scenarios, first, that for the coming seasons We might expect some stability in the total exported volumes due to lower production because of the drought experienced by some areas of the country. The second scenario is that the volumes would continue to grow, but at a slower pace than that recorded over the past decade
