About 41 countries continue to be in need of external assistance for food, with conflicts acting as the primary cause of high levels of food insecurity and adverse weather conditions - particularly rainfall shortages in Africa - acutely affecting food availability and access for millions of people. This was among the findings by a quarterly report on Crop Prospects and Food Situation, issued recently by the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO).
“The countries on the list, which include 31 in Africa, remained unchanged over the last six months,” the report said.
The 41 countries currently in need of external food assistance are Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cabo Verde, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Congo, Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Congo, Djibouti, Eritrea, Eswatini, Ethiopia, Guinea, Haiti, Iraq, Kenya, Lesotho, Liberia, Libya, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Syrian Arab Republic, Uganda, Venezuela, Yemen and Zimbabwe.
Meanwhile, cereal harvests promise to be strong in several countries of Latin America and Asia, while improved security conditions helped boost crop production in the Syrian Arab Republic.
Conflicts drive hunger
About half of the 41 countries needing external assistance for food are home to civil unrest or full-fledged conflict, while others face severe resource strains due to large influxes of refugees from neighboring countries experiencing unrest.
In Afghanistan, 3.6 million people are reported to be in emergency (IPC Phase 4) levels of food insecurity, with another 10 million at crisis (IPC Phase 3) levels. In South Sudan, about 6.35 million people, or 54 per cent of the total population, are estimated to be severely food-insecure.
In Syria, while the increased output of the 2019 wheat harvest improved cereal availability in the country, still some 6.5 million people are food-insecure with an additional 2.5 million people at risk of food insecurity without appropriate livelihood support.
Conflict and civil insecurity are also primary drivers of food insecurity in Burundi, Cameroon, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Yemen and parts of Myanmar and Nigeria.
“In Venezuela, hyperinflation has severely eroded local purchasing power, generating acute constraints on households’ access to food, while cereal production is expected to decline due to a lack of agricultural inputs. Some 4.3 million people have left the country and settled in neighbouring countries, where their humanitarian needs are significant,” the report said.
Scarcity of rains
Poor precipitation, including severe dryness in East Africa, is exacerbating the food insecurity situation in several countries in the region.
Overall, the cereal output in East Africa in 2019 is forecast to drop by 5.6 per cent from 2018, with the sharpest output contractions expected to be recorded in Kenya and the Sudan. Prices of maize and sorghum have risen sharply to high levels around the region. Food security has deteriorated most sharply in Kenya and Somalia.
To the west, hydro-meteorological stations in Mauritania registered large seasonal rainfall deficits by mid-August and remote-sensing analysis for grassland conditions in parts of the country indicated the lowest level of biomass production in the last 20 years. Similar situation is reported in northern Senegal.
Adverse weather conditions halved the 2019 cereal harvest in Zimbabwe, where the number of food insecure people is expected to almost double in early 2020 compared to the same period the year before. Similar developments are expected in several neighbouring countries.
Crop production in the Democratic People's Republic of Korea is forecast to be smaller than usual, due to below-average rains and low water irrigation availabilities in the second trimester of 2019.
Around 40 per cent of the population are estimated to be food insecure and in urgent need of food assistance, according to the results from a joint FAO/WFP (World Food Programme) rapid food security assessment conducted last April.
All told, FAO expects the 2019 aggregate cereal production for the 51 low-income food-deficit countries (LIFDCs) to remain broadly unchanged at 473.5 million tonne, a result emanating from growth in Asia offset by declines in Africa.
